The commotion has now increased regarding the presidential elections to be held in America on November 5. Meanwhile, all eyes are on the swing states of America whose results change every time and their voters play a decisive role in the elections. According to experts, the seven swing states and their 77 electoral votes will probably determine the outcome of the US presidential election. According to a new survey just before voting, Republican Party candidate Donald Trump seems to be equalizing the lead given to Kamala Harris. Kamala Harris, contesting on behalf of the Democratic Party, was initially ahead of Trump in the swing states. However, the results of the new survey are the opposite where Trump has not only equalized but has also left Harris behind in some states.
If we talk about seven swing states, they include Georgia, Pennsylvania, Nevada, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona and Wisconsin. Swing state Democrats and Republicans can go with anyone. On the contrary, there are some states which are considered strongholds of Republicans or Democrats. The seven swing states have a total of 77 electoral votes. To win the presidency, Kamala Harris will need 44 votes while Donald Trump will need 51 votes.
What do the figures say?
Trump leads by 2 points in Arizona and 1 point in Georgia, according to a new update of the New York Times polling average. The contest is close in the remaining five states. The results of the Washington Post survey are tilted in favor of Harris. Among these, Harris is leading in Pennsylvania (2 points), Michigan (2 points) and Wisconsin (2 points). According to pollster Nate Silver, Trump seems to be taking a slight lead in Arizona and Georgia. According to polling aggregator ReClearPolitics, Trump is leading in all swing states. However this margin is still very low. Some other sources also give important indications about who can win the US elections. One of the major clues is the betting markets which include the name Poly Market. According to new Poly Market numbers, Trump is leading in many places.
how important
Early voting has begun in some states such as Georgia ahead of the decisive election and voting data is often used to analyze who is in favor. According to a poll released by USA Today and Suffolk University, Kamala Harris was ahead by 34 to 63 percent among those who had already voted. However, early voting data from an election never shows the full picture as things can change completely on election day.
