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On November 6, Trump gave his first speech after winning the election in West Palm Beach, Florida. This is the biggest victory of the Republican Party in the history of America. Trump has become the first President since World War II to win re-election after a gap of 4 years.
After all, how did Donald Trump get such a big victory; You will know its 5 big factors in Bhaskar Explainer…
Latest results of all three elections, Republican won In America, the Republican Party has won the presidential elections as well as the Congress. The party has secured majority in the Senate. Besides, he is also close to leading in the House of Representatives.
America also has two houses like India. The House of Representatives is like the Lok Sabha of India. For this, elections are held every two years. There are a total of 435 members in this house.
The Senate is like the Rajya Sabha of India. In this, 2-2 senators are elected from every American state. In such a situation, there are total 100 members in the US Senate. The tenure of its members is 6 years. However, elections are not held simultaneously for all the seats. Elections are held for some seats every two years.
5 factors behind this big victory of Trump…
Factor-1: Bullet fired on Trump is a big turning point
Donald Trump's rally in Butler, Pennsylvania on July 13, 2024. Trump was giving his speech on stage when the sound of gunshot was heard. This bullet was fired at Trump. Trump survived the bullet fired from the AR Style 556 rifle, but his ear was injured.
Trump himself had admitted at that time that there was a difference of seconds between him and death. If he had not turned his head within 0.05 seconds while giving a speech, the bullet would have hit him in the head. The picture of Trump waving his fist in the air after the shooting went viral.
Donald Trump made a fist and waved his hands in the air after being shot on July 13, 2024.
Even after being shot, Trump held election rallies. The American public liked this style of Trump very much. According to political prediction platform Polymarket, after Trump was shot, his winnability jumped by 8% and reached an all-time high of 70%.
After the shooting, Donald Trump's chances of becoming President had reached 70%.
Getting emotional benefits from such accidents is not a big deal in America. 43 years ago, Republican Party leader Ronald Reagan was also shot. Reagan was badly injured in the attack. However his life was saved. Three years after the incident, presidential elections were held in America, in which Reagan's Republican Party again won with a record number of votes.
Factor-2: Trump's focus on swing states led to such a big victory To become President, it is necessary to win 270 seats. Whichever direction the 7 swing states of America take, that person becomes President. Swing states support Donald Trump in the 2024 election.
There are a total of 93 seats in swing states. Pennsylvania has the maximum of 19 electoral seats. Trump defeated Kamala Harris by 3% votes in this state. Trump got 51% votes and Kamala got 48% votes. Pennsylvania is considered a kingmaker state among swing states. There is no way to reach the White House without winning Pennsylvania.
The Republican Party has won only once in Pennsylvania from 1992 to 2020. In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by 0.7% of the vote. Here in the 2020 elections, Biden defeated Trump by a margin of just 1.2%.
Elon Musk openly supported Donald Trump in the presidential election. While supporting Trump, Musk had announced to give 1 million dollars i.e. approximately Rs 8.40 crore to the voters. They kept distributing 1 million dollars to one selected voter every day till the election date i.e. November 6. This scheme was started only for 7 swing states.
Donald Trump and Elon Musk during an election rally in Pennsylvania.
Voters were asked to sign and support an online petition on freedom of speech and gun ownership. In Pennsylvania, every registered voter who signed the petition was compensated $100 (Rs 8,400). In the remaining six swing states, each registered voter who signed the petition was given $47 (Rs 3,951).
Factor-3: These 5 election promises of 2024 attracted voters Donald Trump's promises have made a big impact in the US presidential elections. Trump had promised on many occasions that…
- Before his swearing in, he will end the ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine. He also claimed to end the war soon by talking to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
- Trump also promised to deport people who came to America illegally. Said to use every power necessary for this.
- Trump also talked about removing the tax on tips. For this, Congress will have to pass a legislation.
- Trump had also promised to stop taxes on Social Security income.
- Promised to end federal funding to schools that provide education on issues related to racism, such as Critical Race Theory and transgender issues.
Donald Trump during an election rally in North Carolina on November 2, 2024.
Factor-4: Leave discrimination between whites and blacks, bring Muslims along too America's black population has mostly been supporting the Democratic Party. Donald Trump's image has also been anti-black. In 2018, former presidential candidate Hillary Clinton had even called Donald Trump a racist, but now this trend has changed. Trump got more popular votes this time.
In 2016, when Donald Trump became the President of America for the first time, he got only 8% of the votes of blacks. This time in the exit polls, Trump was claimed to have got 12% black votes. Actually, Trump's anti-Black image has changed in this election.
Donald Trump with the Muslim community during a rally in Michigan in October 2024.
This time Trump also tried hard to get the votes of America's Muslims in his favor. Trump went to Michigan in September. He met Muslim Mayor Aamer Ghalib and other leaders.
The Democratic Party got the full support of Muslims in the 2020 and 2016 elections, but there is resentment among the Muslim population due to Joe Biden's cooperation with Israel in the Middle East war. In these elections, they saw Trump as a better option who kept talking about finding a solution to the war.
Factor-5: Took the pulse by talking about stopping the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine war Donald Trump said in his victory speech, 'I will not start a war, I will end a war' because America's involvement in other countries' wars is increasing day by day. In such a situation, there was resentment among the American public due to increasing financial expenses.
Donald Trump during his victory speech on November 6, 2024.
Throughout his election campaign, Donald Trump promised to stop the Israel-Hamas war. Trump had claimed that he has asked Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu to end the war in Gaza as soon as possible.
Since the beginning of the war between Russia and Ukraine, America has been continuously providing financial support to Ukraine. America is also supporting Israel in the Israel-Hamas war that started in October last year. America's involvement is also the reason for the increase in war in the Middle East.
The general public of America thus considers America's involvement in the affairs of other countries as a waste of money. In such a situation, Trump's promises to stop the war were the reason for his victory in this election.
American citizens protesting the war in the Middle East.
One reason for Trump's victory is Biden's wrong policies. According to pre-poll data analysis, when people were asked whether they are satisfied with the direction in which the country is going or not? On this, 74% people said that they were not satisfied. People feel that the country is going in the wrong direction.
Its loss was to Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris. Anti-incumbency factors became a challenge for Kamala. Kamala Harris was the Vice President of America, hence she had to bear the brunt of anti-incumbency. This also includes supporting Israel in the Middle East war.
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Research Collaboration: Shreya Nakade
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Other news related to US elections…
Bhaskar Explainer-It will take 75 days for swearing in after the results: What will happen during this period; How will Biden transfer power to Trump?
Donald Trump is certain to become the new President of America. They have got 277 seats out of 538, which is 7 more than the 270 seats required for majority. Democratic Party candidate Kamala Harris could win only 224 seats despite giving a tough fight. Read the full news…
How Trump became a politician from a business tycoon: Bought a beauty contest, hosted a reality show, decided to become President after listening to Obama's taunts.
It was April 30, 2011, when then President Barack Obama hosted a dinner party at the White House. Obama was repeatedly taunting a person present at the party by taking his name. That person was none other than Donald Trump, America's biggest business tycoon at that time. Trump had joined the Republican Party some time ago. He repeatedly questioned Obama's American birth. When Obama saw him in the program, he thought of retaliating and cursed Trump a lot. According to media reports, Trump could not tolerate this insult. That very day he had decided that one day he would become the President of America. Read the full news…
